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Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 FY25 delivered modest pro forma growth with revenues of $3.416B (+2% YoY pro forma), Adjusted EBITDA of $262M (+3% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA margin of 7.7% (+10 bps), GAAP EPS of $0.05 and Adjusted EPS of $0.51; free cash flow was $102M and operating cash flow $110M .
  • Bookings momentum was solid (net bookings $3.6B; book-to-bill 1.1x; total backlog $45.2B, 3.2x annual revenue coverage); including unconsolidated JVs, book-to-bill was 1.5x, driven by the DOE West Valley award contribution on an imputed basis .
  • Full-year FY25 guidance was reaffirmed (Revenue $13.8–$14.2B, Adj. EBITDA $1.06–$1.10B, Adj. EPS $2.00–$2.20, FCF $475–$525M); management expects sequential improvement through the year and notes only ~1% revenue headwind embedded from the new administration’s initiatives .
  • The quarter’s narrative skewed positive: stronger-than-modeled FCF per one analyst, improving DSO (-2 days YoY pro forma), robust pipeline ($30B pending; $12B submitted in Q1), and synergy execution on track ($30M run-rate net synergies by FY25 year-end) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Execution and cash: Adjusted EBITDA rose 3% YoY to $262M with a 10 bps margin lift; free cash flow of $102M on disciplined working capital and favorable timing; DSO improved by 2 days YoY pro forma. “Financial performance was in line with our expectations… robust Q1 business development results” .
  • Business development and backlog: $3.6B net bookings, 1.1x book-to-bill; backlog reached $45.2B; on a JV-imputed basis, book-to-bill was 1.5x, highlighting strong win activity (e.g., DOE West Valley, DOD GCTF, AFCENT GPMS) .
  • Guidance confidence: FY25 guide reaffirmed with 96% of revenue expected from existing/recompete and expectation for sequential improvement through FY25; only ~1% revenue impact assumed from administration initiatives .

What Went Wrong

  • Accounting headwinds: GAAP EPS of $0.05 reflects heavy non-cash amortization ($120M) and interest expense ($87M), despite solid operating trends .
  • Sequential revenue step-down vs pro forma Q4: Pro forma revenue was $3.565B in Q4 FY24 vs $3.416B in Q1 FY25, reflecting normal seasonality and program ramps (management still expects sequential improvement from here) .
  • Award timing/new-admin noise: Management cited some delays in awards tied to executive order implementation; foreign-aid exposure is immaterial (<1% of revenue), but the team embedded ~1% revenue headwind in guidance for prudence .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024 (Pro Forma)Q4 2024 (Pro Forma)Q1 2025
Revenues ($B)$3.338 $3.565 $3.416
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$255 $277 $262
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)7.6% 7.8% 7.7%
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.50 $0.47 $0.51
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.46) $0.28 $0.05
Operating Cash Flow ($M)N/AN/A$110
Free Cash Flow ($M)N/AN/A$102

Notes:

  • Q1 2024 and Q4 2024 are presented on a pro forma basis for comparability with the post-merger business. Q1 2025 is reported actual; management references pro forma growth vs Q1 2024 .

Segment performance (Pro Forma where indicated):

SegmentQ1 2024 (Pro Forma) Revenue ($M)Q1 2025 Revenue ($M)YoYQ1 2024 (Pro Forma) Adj. EBITDA ($M)Q1 2025 Adj. EBITDA ($M)YoY
Digital Solutions$1,279 $1,286 +1% $99 $100 +1%
Global Engineering Solutions$2,059 $2,130 +3% $156 $162 +4%

Selected KPIs and balance sheet:

KPIQ1 2025
Net bookings ($B)$3.6
Book-to-bill (x)1.1x
Backlog ($B)$45.2
Funded backlog ($B)$6.6
JV-imputed book-to-bill (x)1.5x (incl. unconsolidated JVs)
Cash & equivalents ($M)$522
Total debt ($B)$4.7
Net leverage (x)4.0x (improved from 4.1x at FY24 end)
Revolver availability ($M)$850, no outstanding balance
DSO trendDown ~2 days YoY pro forma

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (12/16/24)Current Guidance (2/4/25)Change
Revenue ($B)FY25$13.8 – $14.2 $13.8 – $14.2 Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($B)FY25$1.06 – $1.10 $1.06 – $1.10 Maintained
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)FY25$2.00 – $2.20 $2.00 – $2.20 Maintained
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY25$475 – $525 $475 – $525 Maintained

Management expects sequential increases across metrics through FY25, with normal FCF seasonality skewed to 2H and a 53rd week in Q4; guidance embeds ~1% revenue headwind from administration initiatives .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2)Previous Mentions (Q-1: Q4 FY24)Current Period (Q1 FY25)Trend
AI/technology initiativesN/A – no public Q3 FY24 disclosure foundHighlighted digital modernization, 5G deployments, microelectronics/EW/ISR RDT&E awards; affirmed FY25 tech-driven growth CTO launched Technology Advisory Councils; cross-selling via 9 Centers of Excellence; hyperscaler AI enablement work in commercial sector Building momentum
Pipeline & bookingsN/AFY24 backlog $45.0B; strong awards across DOE/NAVSEA/UK MOD; FY25 guide affirmed $3.6B bookings; 1.1x book-to-bill; $30B pending; $12B submits in Q1; JV-imputed 1.5x book-to-bill Strong, improving
Macro/admin policyN/AAffirmed FY25 guide into new admin backdrop ~1% revenue headwind in guide; some award delays; foreign-aid exposure <1% of revenue Prudent conservatism
Space/NASA/DefenseN/AMajor defense/UK/AUKUS positioning; space-related capability support Continued NASA activity (Artemis II/III); emphasis on space superiority; defense/IC modernization (IDEA, C5ISR) Consistent strength
Cash/LeverageN/AFY24 pro forma Adj. EBITDA +7%; FCF profile emphasized FCF $102M; DSO better YoY; net leverage 4.0x with path to ~3x by FY26 Improving

Note: No Q3 FY24 quarter-specific document found; search returned no publications for that period. We used FY24 8-K and Q1 FY25 materials for trend context [Search error noted; attempt logged].

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered a strong first quarter performance across the board… revenues of $3.4 billion… adjusted EBITDA of $262 million… free cash flow of $102 million.” – CEO John Heller .
  • “We currently have $30 billion in pending awards driven by the $12 billion of submitted bids in Q1… book-to-bill was 1.5x [including unconsolidated JVs].” – CEO John Heller .
  • “We remain confident in the outlook… reaffirming guidance… expect sequential increases in all metrics… 96% of FY25 revenues expected to come from existing and recompete business.” – CFO Travis Johnson .
  • “We remain on a firm path to achieving $30 million in run rate net synergies by the end of fiscal year 2025.” – CEO John Heller .

Q&A Highlights

  • Pipeline mix and BD engine: ~$30B pending awards, with roughly two-thirds new business; both segments posted >1.0x book-to-bill in Q1 .
  • Free cash flow cadence: Q1 FCF beat one analyst’s model; DSO -2 days YoY pro forma; Q2 likely the low FCF quarter due to interest timing; majority of FCF in 2H .
  • Commercial momentum and AI: Increasing hyperscaler work to enable next-gen AI compute; automotive RDT&E and smart infrastructure deployments; commercial book-to-bill implied >1 .
  • New administration impacts: Award delays in some areas; foreign-aid exposure <1%; guidance prudently includes ~1% revenue headwind; potential upside opportunities not included in guide .
  • Space/NASA resilience: No impact to NASA programs; Artemis II/III support ongoing; broader emphasis on space superiority and commercial space enablement through NASA infrastructure .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q1 FY25 were not retrievable at time of query due to data access limits; therefore, we cannot quantify beat/miss versus Street. Management stated results were “in line with our expectations” and reaffirmed FY25 guidance .
  • Implication: Without published consensus, near-term estimate revisions may hinge on backlog momentum, cash conversion signals (DSO improvement), and confidence from reaffirmed guidance.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Early integration delivery with balanced P&L and cash: modest pro forma growth, margin uptick, and $102M FCF support the de-leveraging path (target ~3x by FY26) .
  • BD traction is a central bull point: 1.1x book-to-bill (1.5x JV-imputed), $45.2B backlog, and $30B pending awards underpin multi-quarter revenue visibility .
  • Guidance reaffirmation and sequential improvement narrative reduce downside risk; embedded ~1% headwind appears conservative against strong Q1 execution .
  • Accounting headwinds (amortization, interest) mute GAAP EPS; non-GAAP profitability and cash are better indicators during post-merger phases .
  • Watch commercial AI projects, defense/NASA modernization, and large >$1B pursuits enabled by the combined platform for incremental upside catalysts .
  • Near-term trading: momentum supported by pipeline and FCF; absent consensus data, stock moves likely track bookings cadence, JV wins translating to revenue/cash, and any guidance updates.
  • Medium-term thesis: execution on synergy capture, cash conversion, and segment margin accretion should drive de-leveraging and multiple support as integration benefits accrue .